Hot pick for tomorrow:
Madison Bumgarner: (40% owned) - 2.43 ERA, 1.11 WHIP and coming off 4 straight wins. If you need pitching depth, and he's still available in your league, grab him now. The Giants are hot, and so is Bumgarner.
Wednesday, July 28, 2010
Monday, June 21, 2010
Spot starter for Tuesday, June 22
After a crazy week and a half at my real job, I'm back and ready to get some good momentum going. My last few picks got me back to .500, and I'm feeling pretty good about myself after putting some serious distance between me and the rest of the league in my points league. Here's who I like for Tuesday:
Tommy Hunter (12% owned) -- a previous pick for me. I love Hunter. He left his last start early with right hip discomfort, but this kid is a horse and is ready to go tomorrow. I will probably pick this guy every 5th day until he's owned by 50% of the league. I really like him at home against Pittsburg tomorrow. His 2.08 ERA and 0.92 WHIP are nothing to sneeze at either.
Tommy Hunter (12% owned) -- a previous pick for me. I love Hunter. He left his last start early with right hip discomfort, but this kid is a horse and is ready to go tomorrow. I will probably pick this guy every 5th day until he's owned by 50% of the league. I really like him at home against Pittsburg tomorrow. His 2.08 ERA and 0.92 WHIP are nothing to sneeze at either.
Thursday, June 10, 2010
Spot starter for Friday June 11
Huge complete game win for Saunders last night (I'll try not to hurt myself patting myself on the back...). Most importantly, it got me back to .500 -- which for picks of guys under 50% owned is not bad. Here are my stats so far:
Starts W L Inn CG Shutout Hits ER BB ERA WHIP
12 5 5 73.1 2 1 83 41 18 5.03 1.38
Here's who I like for Friday:
No one makes me super confident tomorrow, but I have a hunch about Luis Atilano (2% owned). Not a power pitcher, but has had a great start to his rookie season. His only bad start came against the Mets, and it was the second time he's faced them. If you look at his numbers against teams the first time he faces them, he is sporting a 5-1 recored with a 3.47 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP. He goes against the struggling Indians at home tomorrow who are worse at home then they are on the road.
Starts W L Inn CG Shutout Hits ER BB ERA WHIP
12 5 5 73.1 2 1 83 41 18 5.03 1.38
Here's who I like for Friday:
No one makes me super confident tomorrow, but I have a hunch about Luis Atilano (2% owned). Not a power pitcher, but has had a great start to his rookie season. His only bad start came against the Mets, and it was the second time he's faced them. If you look at his numbers against teams the first time he faces them, he is sporting a 5-1 recored with a 3.47 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP. He goes against the struggling Indians at home tomorrow who are worse at home then they are on the road.
Wednesday, June 9, 2010
Spot starter for Thursday June 10
Well, no repeat performance for Galarraga last night, but a decent ND. Here spot starter stats so far:
Starts W L Inn H ER BB ERA WHIP
11 4 5 64.1 76 40 17 5.60 1.45
I really like my pick for tomorrow:
- Tommy Hunter - (6% owned) - Hunter had a very impressive season last year, and threw a complete gave victory against the Rays in his only start this year. Hunter has the Nolan Ryan old school mentality. He is an innings machine with great command and I like him a lot tomorrow at home vs. Seattle.
Starts W L Inn H ER BB ERA WHIP
11 4 5 64.1 76 40 17 5.60 1.45
I really like my pick for tomorrow:
- Tommy Hunter - (6% owned) - Hunter had a very impressive season last year, and threw a complete gave victory against the Rays in his only start this year. Hunter has the Nolan Ryan old school mentality. He is an innings machine with great command and I like him a lot tomorrow at home vs. Seattle.
Tuesday, June 8, 2010
Sell low.... or wait?
Now that June is here, it's time for most fantasy owners to look at their under-performing (or non-performing) players and start do decide just how much longer they are willing to carry them. Case in point: Mark Teixeira. If you have drafted Tex, you most likely did in the first round (avg pick 10.2 in Yahoo leagues), which means that you are probably pulling your hair out right now knowing that you either need to trade him for half his value, or sit him on the bench and start a backup 1B -- neither are good options for your #1 draft pick.
Teixeira is a notoriously bad April hitter -- career .237 avg and .700 OPS, a far cry from his .286/.911 career numbers. And when the calendar turned May and Tex hit .400 over the first 8 days, including a 3 HR game, he seemed to back to business as usual. So what do you make of the fact that on June 8th, he's hitting .211 with a .689 OPS and only 8 HR's... playing in that stadium... in the middle of that lineup...?? Honestly, I don't know. But what I do know is that you definately don't want to sell low, unless you get comparable undervalue in return (such as Prince Fielder, for example). Otherwise, you need to ride out the slump. He struggled almost as bad last year (granted not into June) and still finished with 39 HR's and and 122 RBI. It's a stretch to think he's going to hit those numbers, but a couple 8-9 HR months are not out of the question. For a little encouragement, here are Tex's career numbers for June - Sept
June: 170 games -- .271 avg, 40 HR, 128 RBI, .900 OPS
July: 174 games -- .284 avg, 41 HR, 119 RBI, .898 OPS
Aug: 198 games -- .311 avg, 49 HR, 162 RBI, .972 OPS
Sept: 183 games -- .305 avg, 50 HR, 166 RBI .994 OPS
So it's obvious that Tex gets better as the year goes on. Unless there is something seriously wrong with him physically right now, expect his numbers to return to normal over the next few weeks. In the meantime, hope there are no more 5 strikeout, 0-6 games...
Teixeira is a notoriously bad April hitter -- career .237 avg and .700 OPS, a far cry from his .286/.911 career numbers. And when the calendar turned May and Tex hit .400 over the first 8 days, including a 3 HR game, he seemed to back to business as usual. So what do you make of the fact that on June 8th, he's hitting .211 with a .689 OPS and only 8 HR's... playing in that stadium... in the middle of that lineup...?? Honestly, I don't know. But what I do know is that you definately don't want to sell low, unless you get comparable undervalue in return (such as Prince Fielder, for example). Otherwise, you need to ride out the slump. He struggled almost as bad last year (granted not into June) and still finished with 39 HR's and and 122 RBI. It's a stretch to think he's going to hit those numbers, but a couple 8-9 HR months are not out of the question. For a little encouragement, here are Tex's career numbers for June - Sept
June: 170 games -- .271 avg, 40 HR, 128 RBI, .900 OPS
July: 174 games -- .284 avg, 41 HR, 119 RBI, .898 OPS
Aug: 198 games -- .311 avg, 49 HR, 162 RBI, .972 OPS
Sept: 183 games -- .305 avg, 50 HR, 166 RBI .994 OPS
So it's obvious that Tex gets better as the year goes on. Unless there is something seriously wrong with him physically right now, expect his numbers to return to normal over the next few weeks. In the meantime, hope there are no more 5 strikeout, 0-6 games...
Spot starter for Wednesday June 9
No pick on Sunday, and Armando Galarraga going tonight. Here's who I like on Wednesday:
-- Joe Saudners (13% Owned) - Saunders has had an up and down season so far, but I really like him tomorrow @ Oakland. Saunders last start against Oakland was his second career shutout back in May and he is 10-4 career against Oakland. He's also facing Dallas Braden who is 0-3 in his last 5 starts since his perfect game. I would not use Saunders past tomorrow, but he's a solid pick if you need a fill in.
-- Joe Saudners (13% Owned) - Saunders has had an up and down season so far, but I really like him tomorrow @ Oakland. Saunders last start against Oakland was his second career shutout back in May and he is 10-4 career against Oakland. He's also facing Dallas Braden who is 0-3 in his last 5 starts since his perfect game. I would not use Saunders past tomorrow, but he's a solid pick if you need a fill in.
Monday, June 7, 2010
Spot starter for Tuesday June 8
No pick for Monday since I couldn't find anyone I liked enough and I need to get back on track. Saturday and Sunday were better: Cahill no decision and Brett Myers win. Here is my pick performance so far:
Starts W L Inn Hits ER BB ERA WHIP
10 4 5 59.2 69 38 15 5.76 1.42
Here's my pick for Tuesday:
- Armando Galarraga (11% owned) - I picked him last week when he was only 2% owned. I'm expecting another strong (though probably not perfect) start against another struggling offense: Chicago. He may not make my under-50% rule after this week.
Starts W L Inn Hits ER BB ERA WHIP
10 4 5 59.2 69 38 15 5.76 1.42
Here's my pick for Tuesday:
- Armando Galarraga (11% owned) - I picked him last week when he was only 2% owned. I'm expecting another strong (though probably not perfect) start against another struggling offense: Chicago. He may not make my under-50% rule after this week.
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